UK heatwave forecast: weather map turns RED as scorching heat hits – could reach 30 ° C | Weather | New
BBC Weather: Temperatures Rise During Bank Holiday Weekend
May is on its way to be one of the wettest in modern UK history, with Wales reporting 129% of its average rainfall for the month by May 21. There are signs that this could change over the next month or so, with The Weather Outlook forecasting a sharp rise in temperatures.
Weather Watch analysts say Britain could see a “blowtorch in the south by June 4,” although they admit the result is only a model.
Writing on Twitter, Brian Gaze said, “Here we are again? ECM00z has the torch in the south by June 4. However, that was a warm outlier overall.”
Asked what temperatures the country might expect if this pattern were to materialize, Mr Gaze told an online user, saying, “I think 30 ° C would be at risk during the first week of the meteorological summer. ‘it came to be triggered.
“It would be extraordinary given the cooler month of May.”
Britain could see a “blowtorch in the south by June 4”
“30C would be in danger during the first week of the meteorological summer”
Mr. Gaze was commenting on the graphics that turned the country red as warmer conditions set in.
The meteorological summer runs from June 1 to August 31 each year.
For its forecasts, The Weather Outlook uses data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
BBC Weather also noted the possibility of warmer weather, but suggested that “cooler and unstable weather” is more likely for the start of next month.
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According to the broadcaster, there is “about 30 percent” chance that “drier and warmer” conditions will be introduced by subtropical African or Atlantic air.
This would require the wind to blow from the south or southwest.
BBC Weather notes: “The main alternative scenario for early June is that the high pressure over the holiday weekend builds strongly in Scandinavia instead of moving to Russia.
“It’s a generally drier model, but with high pressure in the east, the winds would shift more southerly and allow us to tap into warmer African and Mediterranean air.
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BBC gives ‘about 30%’ chance of ‘drier, hotter’ weather
“It’s potentially a very hot model and there is a chance that thunderstorms will drift south.”
However, the BBC notes that there are “stronger signals” for the current inclement weather to continue.
A cold front could blow from Iceland, bringing unusually cold conditions for the start of June.
The BBC said: ‘This will bring a lot of cooler and choppy weather to the UK.
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“The rain will most often take the form of scattered afternoon showers, heavy or thunderstorms with flashes of sun, rather than more stormy weather with bands of rain.
“With low pressure north or east of us and high pressure in the southwest, the large-scale weather pattern helps promote northerly or northwest winds throughout the week.
“This will keep temperatures below average, bringing air from Iceland and the North Atlantic.”
For the rest of the month, between June 7 and June 20, the BBC predicts more volatile weather conditions.
Hot air from Africa and the Mediterranean could be blown into Britain
Britain is likely to experience sunny spells as well as cloudy and rainy spells.
The BBC notes: “There are no clear signals for one or the other to be dominant for the whole month.
“Instead, we expect the broad low pressures from Scandinavia to bring cool, unstable weather that will occasionally be interrupted by the high pressure build-up from the southwest.
“When the low pressure is under control, there will be a greater chance for some days of unusually seasonal wind from the Atlantic weather fronts.
“There will also be lots of sun and showers.”